Insights · M&A

The World Bank's latest forecast is a wake-up call

The World Bank's latest forecast is a wake-up call: global growth is projected at a sluggish 2.3% for 2025 (no surprise considering all what is happening), with persistent inflation and uncertainty.

Ayman AbouhendChief Investment Officer · 28 July 2025 · 1 min read
Infographic: Thriving in the Slowdown, comparing M&A as the control strategy with DPI as the flexibility strategy

The World Bank's latest forecast is a wake-up call: global growth is projected at a sluggish 2.3% for 2025 (no surprise considering all what is happening), with persistent inflation and uncertainty.

For businesses and investment funds, waiting for the market to improve isn't a strategy. Instead, success requires a sophisticated capital allocation plan.

Consider two complementary tools:

1. M&A (The Control Strategy)

Mergers & Acquisitions are your instrument for deep, structural change. Use M&A (with right valuations) to:

  • Gain Full Control: Directly steer strategy and operations in a volatile market.
  • Force Synergies: Actively integrate functions to protect margins from inflation.
  • Buy Market Share: Acquire competitors to build a defensible position when organic growth stalls.

2. Direct Portfolio Investment (The Flexibility Strategy)

Use targeted, non-controlling stakes for agile financial exposure. This allows you to:

  • Stay Liquid: Enter and exit positions in promising companies with greater speed and less capital.
  • Mitigate Risk: Gain financial upside from market leaders without the heavy operational burden of a full acquisition.
  • Diversify Bets: Invest in multiple innovative or resilient companies across different sectors.

The Takeaway: Balance the high-commitment, high-control approach of M&A with the agile, flexible exposure of Direct Portfolio Investment. This dual strategy is key to building resilience and capturing opportunity in the current economy.

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Ayman Abouhend
Ayman Abouhend

Eighteen years in investment management, M&A and financial technology. A CFA Charterholder, he leads investment analysis, valuation and fund structuring across Significa's advisory and investment practices, and teaches valuation and fund structures in the CVC Builder curriculum. Concurrently Chief M&A and Growth Officer at AlternativeSoft in London; co-founder of MarkeScope, which developed the first stock-screening solution to incorporate risk measures. Treasurer of CFA Society Egypt; BSc Electrical, Electronics and Communications Engineering, Cairo University.

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